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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2022-11-19T17:11Z
Model Inputs: 2022-11-19T07:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=45.0, Lat.=4.0, Speed=385.0, HalfAngle=60.0, Time21.5=2022-11-19T17:23Z 2022-11-19T13:53:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=55.0, Lat.=24.0, Speed=331.0, HalfAngle=44.0, Time21.5=2022-11-20T00:26Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: (Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2022-11-22T20:00Z (+- 7 hours) Possible Kp index: (kp)90=2 (kp)135=3 (kp)180=4 Other Location(s) Impact: OSIRIS-REx with estimated shock arrival time 2022-11-23T18:14Z Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2022-11-25T04:00Z (Glancing Blow) STEREO B with estimated shock arrival time 2022-11-22T17:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221119_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Note : The predicted arrival at NASA missions near Earth at 2022-11-22T20:00Z is very weak, shows up primarily in the animations, and is not significantly different than the previous 1-CME simulation with the 2022-11-19T07:36Z CME. The only expected effect of the 2022-11-19T13:53Z CME in this 2-CME simulation is a slight perturbation in the original model result of the 2022-11-19T07:36Z CME which pushes the combined output close enough to OSIRIS-REx for that arrival to be picked up automatically by the simulation script. Submitted on 2022-11-19T17:13Z by Robert Loper No Notification has been sent for this activity yet. |
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